Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 800.491220 905.585243 1023.439580 1166.198065 1335.512694 1531.244069 1776.571081
2025-02-09 657.688717 797.068024 968.154180 1196.874963 1499.705947 1894.363736 2460.386507
2025-02-16 571.545338 721.042594 914.652903 1189.644979 1580.196988 2131.357766 2999.783329
2025-02-23 522.694274 682.222109 898.538477 1222.571090 1712.861007 2458.065156 3744.276621
2025-03-02 482.700804 647.971733 880.839974 1245.855119 1829.566670 2777.949600 4560.090428
2025-03-09 443.394074 609.068365 850.027851 1242.424651 1900.470398 3034.359727 5336.842058
2025-03-16 406.211940 568.762793 811.536871 1219.916453 1933.493282 3228.655002 6051.216061
2025-03-23 383.577510 547.554293 799.165438 1236.817999 2035.266633 3567.585508 7178.657368
2025-03-30 352.790745 510.837327 758.260050 1199.586736 2031.680929 3699.384994 7883.604137
2025-04-06 326.695570 479.219152 722.407406 1166.361299 2029.551264 3832.404937 8640.549823
2025-04-13 302.562660 448.827953 685.783376 1127.262500 2009.419851 3921.749682 9318.110050
2025-04-20 294.412574 443.649929 690.899218 1165.088708 2150.635626 4406.944276 11340.501389
2025-04-27 283.135929 433.340814 687.808913 1190.295197 2277.601029 4913.299140 13798.161545
2025-05-04 272.400705 423.236289 684.391575 1215.143915 2410.959286 5484.722523 16921.263978
2025-05-11 258.503154 406.459514 667.102064 1209.221994 2471.597048 5879.025211 19687.960286
2025-05-18 251.009001 400.259944 668.629992 1242.515691 2633.478765 6622.931152 24677.176782
2025-05-25 242.912267 392.305469 665.990636 1266.363779 2777.021501 7368.772620 30573.998815
2025-06-01 232.311214 379.019103 651.844377 1262.844368 2848.288573 7908.148142 36073.965805
2025-06-08 220.462974 362.647454 630.286213 1239.865724 2862.256857 8256.223271 40915.850975
2025-06-15 213.752678 355.389446 626.266792 1257.122226 2994.035574 9099.706641 50753.494004
2025-06-22 202.034118 337.958587 600.283306 1219.109367 2956.856081 9270.473905 55625.891138
2025-06-29 191.566725 322.343699 576.968076 1185.192050 2926.612947 9464.996760 61227.005610
2025-07-06 181.267361 306.521832 552.203149 1145.286296 2871.540347 9538.611188 65952.758841